Sunday, September 19, 2010

College Football Conference Rankings - Week 3

We are now through week 3 of the 4 week long non-conference schedule and conference strength is taking shape.  This week I put together a spreadsheet to help me with my power rankings and delved a bit deeper into the numbers:


BCS
Other FBS FCS
Total
YTD W L W L W L W L
SEC 6 2 9 0 4 1 19 3
Big 12 (+1) 6 2 16 2 5 1 27 5
Big Ten (-1) 7 5 10 0 9 1 26 6
Pac 10 8 4 4 4 7 0 19 8
WAC (+3) 3 7 4 3 5 0 12 10
Mtn West (-1) 4 8 1 4 4 0 9 12
ACC (-1) 1 9 6 1 10 1 17 11
Big East (-1) 1 6 3 3 8 0 12 9


BCS
Other FBS FCS
Total
Week 3 W L W L W L W L
SEC 2 0 1 0 1 0 4 0
Big 12 1 0 5 2 0 0 6 2
Big Ten 2 2 5 0 2 0 9 2
Pac 10 4 2 1 2 1 0 6 4
WAC 1 1 2 2 1 0 4 3
Mountain West 1 3 0 3 0 0 1 6
ACC 1 4 2 0 0 0 3 4
Big East 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 3

This list above is in order of how I'd rank them right now based on performance so far.  As you can see there's a few changes in my rankings and I will explain the changes in detail below:

#5 WAC - I'm starting with the WAC because I moved them from 8th in the prior week to 5th this week.  I dismissed them entirely last week but the spreadsheet gave me a little more info and I decided I needed to reevaluate a bit.  I still believe they are a weak conference but in the end results are the only thing that matters.  You certainly could make an argument that the WAC plays worse competition but the numbers support them right now.  The WAC is 3-7 against BCS schools.  The Mountain West is 4-8 (push) and the ACC and Big East are 1-9 and 1-6 respectively.  The reason I rated them ahead of the Mountain West is due to their 4-3 record vs other FCS schools.  The Mountain West is 1-4.  I do believe that the ACC is a much better conference but they need to show it on the field.

#8 Big East - I've harped about it in the past but this league continues to push the bar for bad.  This week 3 teams had a bye but they managed to go 1-3 with only West Virginia beating the ACC's Maryland.  UConn did nothing to help the league rep with a loss to Temple which will no doubt help their application to the Big East if they ever decide to join.

#7 ACC - The league continues to struggle in BCS matchups as Wake Forest and Duke got crushed and the lone win was against by NC State against the equally futile Cincinnati (see Big East).  Virginia Tech did manage to win a game vs. Conference USA's East Carolina though they did trail for a good part of the game.  I know this league is more talented than they've shown but at this point it will be really hard for them to recover from their 1-9 record vs BCS schools.  The only possible redemption is the bowl games though it may be difficult to get many bowl eligible teams with their results thus far.

#6 - Mountain West - The Big East and ACC's struggles are to the benefit of the Mountain West.  Week 3 was tough for them as they only went 1-6 but one of the losses was to Boise State who join the league next year.  Their struggles opened the door for the WAC to pass them (4-3 for the week)

#4 Pac 10 - Pac 10 fans might dispute this rank as they took 2 out of 3 from the Big Ten over the weekend.  All of the games were close and frankly I'm a bit shocked that the Minnesota-USC game was even close.  The tiebreaker for me is the non-BCS games and the Pac 10 went 1-2 with Washington State losing to SMU and California losing to Nevada. 

#3 Big Ten - The Big Ten (9-2) could have made a big statement over the weekend but in my mind neither Wisconsin or Iowa looked like an elite team and this was enough for the Big 12 to move to #2.  The Big Ten could take back the second spot next weekend as the league should win all 11 games vs weak competition.

#2 Big 12 - Nebraska's domination of the Pac 10's Washington continued the Big 12's streak of good performances vs BCS teams.  Baylor and Kansas' poor performances are the Big 12's answer to the Big Ten's Minnesota and Indiana but even worse.

#1 SEC - They were 4-0 out of conference this week with wins vs. Duke, Akron, Furman and Clemson.  None of those teams can be confused with a juggernaut but the SEC will be on top of the heap until someone knocks them off and it doesn't appear possible until the bowl season.  They aren't as strong as they've been in past years but the main issue is youth and I'm sure that will be corrected by bowl season.  If the other leagues want to pass them they have their work cut out for them.

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