Thursday, June 21, 2012

The New College football playoff: Part 3 - How would it look?

Just to see what we might expect, I put together a quick spreadsheet and made a few assumptions.
  • I used the last ten years rankings from the BCS 
  • All teams are now in their conferences as of 2014 
  • Only one team could be a wildcard (non-conference champ) 
  • Conference champs were given precidence over other schools 
  • The Big 5 conferences were given precidence over the others 

I also made the following assumptions for bowls:
  • Rose Bowl will be the site of a semifinal if qualifiers include a B1G and P12 team 
  • Cotton Bowl will be the site of a semifinal if qualifiers include a SEC and B12 team 
  • Fiesta Bowl is the 1st alternate site for the B1G and P12 
  • Sugar Bowl is the 1st alternate site for the SEC and ACC 
  • Orange Bowl is the 1st alternate site for the B12 and ACC 


As you can see from the above the SEC has the most appearances followed by the Big 12 then the B1G / Pac 12 and far behind is the ACC.  This seems reasonable based on the results of the past ten years.  I considered putting Notre Dame in for 2005 but think since they aren't in a conference they'd need to finish in the top 4 (Ohio State tronced them in the bowl that year).  The only non BCS team would have been Cincinnati in 2009 (Note: they lost to Florida by 40 in the actual bowl matchup that year).  There were only 12 appearances by non BCS teams in the top 15 with Boise State being 5 of them.

All in all if they go with a system like this I'd like it though as I've said before I'd love an 8 team playoff with the first round on home fields.

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