Wednesday, January 3, 2018

What if national champions - 2010

So I couldn't stop with my last post.  There's a website that simulates game results of past teams based on an algorithm.  I thought it might be fun to play a couple of these playoffs out with a seven game series like baseball (only with home/neutral field restrictions).  Here's 2010:

Boise State (10) at Auburn (1)
Oklahoma (7) at Oregon (2)
Ohio State (6) at TCU (3)
Stanford (4) at Wisconsin (5)

Boise State at Auburn:

Game 1 - BSU 23 : Aub 20 - Kellen Moore throws for 401 yards.
Game 2 - BSU 41 : Aub 21 - Doug Martin runs for 83 while making 5 catches for 58
Game 3 - BSU 56 : Aub 23 - Kellen Moore throws for 423 yards with 4 TDs
Game 4 - BSU 42 : Aub 31 - Kellen Moore throws for  339 and 3 TDs

This was a shocker.  I don't know much about the website's algorithm but I'm sure it wasn't made by an SEC fan.  I ran this another 4 times and Boise won 3 of them.

Oklahoma at Oregon:

Game 1 : Ore 38 : Okl 10 - LaMichael James goes for 209 and a TD
Game 2 : Ore 48 : Okl 17 - LaMichael James goes for 350 and 4 TDs
Game 3 : Okl 27 : Ore 22 - DeMarco Murray runs for 102 and a TD
Game 4 : Okl 24 : Ore 21 - Landry Jones throws for 303 and 2 TDs
Game 5 : Okl 41 : Ore 21 - DeMarco Murray runs for 129-2 TDs and 122 receiving with a TD
Game 6 : Ore 41 : Okl 23 - LaMichael James and Kenyon Barner combine for 258 yds rushing
Game 7 : Ore 58 : Okl 27 - LaMichael James goes for 192 and 4 TDs

Tight series.  James was a beast.

Ohio State at TCU

Game 1 : TCU 28 : OSU   9 - Andy Dalton with 148 yards and a TD in the air.
Game 2 : TCU 23 : OSU 15 - Andy Dalton with a group effort.
Game 3 : TCU 30 : OSU 17 - Andy Dalton with 256 yds passing and a TD.
Game 4 : TCU 38 : OSU 31 - Andy Dalton throw for 220 and 3 TDs.

I can't say this result is especially surprising.  Those last Tressel teams relied on Terrelle Pryor to hide a lot of holes.  TCU had a good defense and a future NFL QB running the offense.

Stanford at Wisconsin

Game 1 : Wis 31 : Stan 6 - Scott Tolzien throws for 253-2 TDs.  John Clay runs for 100-1 TD.
Game 2 : Stan 41 : Wis 33 - Andrew Luck throws for 375 and 2 TDs
Game 3 : Wis 37 : Stan 36 - John Clay and Montee Ball run for 207 yds and 3 TDs
Game 4 : Wis 29 : Stan 28 - Scott Tolzien throws for 20-23-257-1.  Clay and Ball combine for 179.
Game 5 : Wis 22 : Stan 20 - Clay goes for 111.  Ball for 94.

Andrew Luck had a lot of yards but the balanced attack of Wisconsin won out.

Boise State vs Wisconsin

Game 1 : BSU 26 : Wisc   7 - Kellen Moore throws for 28-40-382-2 TDs
Game 2 : BSU 38 : Wisc 22 - Kellen Moore throws for 24-40-264-3 TDs
Game 3 : BSU 43 : Wisc 35 - Kellen Moore throws for 26-35-398-2 TDs
Game 4 : Wisc 38 : BSU 31 - John Clay runs for 172 and 2 TDs
Game 5 : BSU 54 : Wisc 21 - Kellen Moore throws for 28-38-387-7 TDs

Kellen Moore was a beast in college.  If he actually had done this in a college playoff he might have gotten a better shot in the pro's.

Oregon vs TCU

Game 1 : Ore 38 : TCU 22 - LaMichael James runs for 150 and 2 TDs.
Game 2 : Ore 42 : TCU 39 - Darron Thomas throws for 20-26-230-4 TDs
Game 3 : TCU 33 : Ore 28 - Matthew Tucker and Ed James combine for 212 and 3 TDs
Game 4 : Ore 37 : TCU 33 - LaMichael James runs for 141 and 1 TD.
Game 5 : TCU 27 : Ore   9 - Ed Wesley runs for 136 and 2 TDs.
Game 6 : TCU 37 : Ore 27 - Ed Wesley runs for 141 and 2 TDs.
Game 7 : TCU 59 : Ore 14 - Waymon James runs for 141 and 2 TDs.  Dalton passes for 3 TDs.

TCU relies on its running game to come back for the win.

Boise State vs TCU

Game 1 : BSU 45 : TCU 31 - Doug Martin goes 98-2TDs on the ground and 86 receiving with a TD.
Game 2 : BSU 43 : TCU 20 - Doug Martin runs for 108 with 2 TDs.
Game 3 : BSU 34 : TCU 32 - Kellen Moore throws for 352 with 4 TDs.
Game 4 : BSU 42 : TCU 24 - Doug Martin runs for 66 yds with 3 TDs.  Catches 5-68 and a TD.

This certainly wasn't what I expected when I started.  There's no doubt the TV executives would be crying with a Boise State - TCU championship game.

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